Global warming Research paper(Studying rate of change Java Platform Program)


Global Warming (Research Paper)



Upesh Karki 
Laguardia Commmunity College
 Student
New York, USA
upacekar3@gmail.com


 

      Abstract—Global warming is a very simple topic, yet many people tend to have misconceptions about what it actually is. Some get confused by rise in temperature, some think it is ice caps meeting but global warming is a change in climate that has lots of ripple effects in nature.

                                                                     I.    Introduction

    As life started to exist on earth, we see the earth's climate is always changing, causing the life to adopt in different changed climates. Those who succeed to adopt, will survive and those who do not will be wiped from their entire existence.  Climate is changing, but we humans are shortening our days on earth by increasing the rate of climate change. So, in a broad sense, Climate change occurs when changes in Earth’s climate system result in new weather patterns that remain in place for an extended period of time. Thus, Global warming is an aspect of climate change. It is the long term rise in the average temperature of the earth’s climate system. However, global warming denotes the mainly human caused increase in global surface temperatures. While there have been prehistoric periods of global warming, many observed changes since the mid-20th century have been unprecedented over the decades of millennia. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment report,” It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.”

    There are a lot of  aftermaths of global warming that even this research paper is not enough to write about. Despite all of the evidence that proves the reality of global warming, there is still a huge controversy on this issue with the statements like, “ It’s just a natural calamitic variability.” or  “Carbon Dioxide is better for plants, so the plants will be better off. “ or “I agree that the climate is changing, but I’m skeptical that humans are the main cause, so we shouldn’t do anything.” or “Why do people continue to question the reality of  global warming?”. Thus, our research paper attempts to clear the controversy over the reality of global warming. Thus, our hypothesis in this project is that global warming is real. Ease of Use

                                                              II.    Literature Review

 

      According to NASA. Climate change, they have dedicated a whole website for the studies about the effects, evidence and resolutions for climate change. Write something from other paper and article by studying. The largest influence has been the emission of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide.

      According to Ramanathan, the fundamental energy source for earth is sunlight. However, not all of the solar energy is absorbed, about 30 percent is reflected back to space by clouds, the atmosphere and land and sea surface, including sea ice, ice sheets, etc. The planet is warmed by the remaining 70 percent and, in turn, re-radiates the heat as infrared energy(also known as thermal energy or heat radiation). Over the long term, climate is governed by the balance between the incoming solar heating and cooling associated with the outgoing infrared energy. The added CO2 upsets this balance by absorbing and re-emitting the infrared energy. In this process, the blanket of  CO2   acts just like wool blanket on a cold night by trapping the outgoing infrared heat within the surface atmosphere system and causing the planet to become warmer.

     Effects of global warming include a rise in sea levels, regional changes in precipitation, more frequent extreme weather events such as heat waves, and expansion of deserts. Ocean acidification is also caused by greenhouse gas emissions. Overall high temperatures bring extreme rain or snowfall, but for some regions droughts and wildfires increase instead. From polar bears in the Arctic to marine turtles off the coast of Africa, our planet’s diversity of life is at risk from the changing climate. As a result of climate change, sea ice is melting earlier and forming later each year, leaving polar bears less time to hunt. As their ice habitat shrinks, skinnier and hungrier bears face a grave challenge to their survival. Climate change poses a fundamental threat to the places, species and people’s livelihoods. Climate change causes displacement of people in several ways, the most obvious—and dramatic—being through the increased number and severity of weather-related disasters which destroy homes and habitats causing people to seek shelter or livelihoods elsewhere. It may also lead to dramatic increases in prevalence of a variety of infectious diseases like dengue and malaria.
Thus, there are a lot of  aftermaths of global warming that even this research paper is not enough to write about. But the controversy over the reality of global warming makes us hard to believe all these consequences. However, the articles that we used to understand this issue has removed our confusion by providing scientific facts and reasons.

                                                                  III.   Methodology


       In our project, we have the data of the water level; from 1845 till today and through our program we are calculating the tangent of the increasing curve. The tangent is the rate of change in the water level. Similarly, we applied the same method to study the CO2 emissions and the rate of change of earth's crust temperature . We read and analyzed the data from 1940 till today and have showed an increase in the concentration of CO2 due to the heavy influence from humans. We also got the data of the earth's crust temperature and calculated the tangents.

A.   Units

·     Temperate readings are in degree Celsius.
·     Water level are measured in mm.
·     Gar is measured in PPM (parts per million) Equations

                                                          IV.   Discussion of results


      After running our code, we got the exact rate of change in the fields of global temperature which is 1.32 percentage since 1880 till present. And when we put the array of data’s that we got in the program to a graph we can actually see how the statics are sky rocketing after the industrial revolution.
      Similarly, from the water level analysis, it is safe to conclude that water level is in fact rising. We got the exact amount of how it rose since 1993 and it is 94.32mm. We also projected the array that we got into the graph and we got the following graph. We can clearly notice that the water level is rising rapidly.
      Finally, as our last part of our study, we also analyzed the data of Co2 emissions. Since, 1958-2019 we got the average rate of the change of 92.82 PPM. This result definitely proves that our atmosphere is also impacting our environment very deeply.

A.   Graphs from the Data



                                                   Fig: Global temperature graph (1880-2019)


As You can see the global temperature is skyrocketing and it is not a good sign. Our program calculates the slope of the curve that gives us the rate of change in temperature which is 1.32.



                                                    Fig: water level rising (1993-2019)
Rate of change in water level is 94.32 mm



Fig: Co2 emission chart (1958-2019)
The rate of change in co2 emission is 92.82 PPM

                                                                         V.    Appendex

package streamIO;
import java.io.*;

public class IntputList {
        
          public static void main(String[] args)throws Exception
           {
                        //Reading temperature data 1880-2018
           File file = new File("tempreature.txt");
           BufferedReader br = new BufferedReader(new FileReader(file));
          //local variables for temperature analysis
           String st; double j; double tArray[] = new double [140];
           int i = 0; double sumtemp =0;
           double avgchangetemp =0.0;
           while ((st = br.readLine()) != null) {
             System.out.println(st);
             j =  Double.valueOf(st);
             tArray[i] = j;
             sumtemp = sumtemp +j;
                       if(i>1) {
                                                      if (avgchangetemp<0) {
                                                                    avgchangetemp = avgchangetemp*-1;
                                                      avgchangetemp = (tArray[i]-tArray[i-1])*-1 +
                                                                                   avgchangetemp;
                                                      }
                                                      if(avgchangetemp>0 ||  avgchangetemp == 0 ) {
                                                                    avgchangetemp = (tArray[i]-tArray[i-1]) +
                                                                                                 avgchangetemp;
                                                      }                          
                       }
             i++;
           }//End of while loop
           double averagetemp  = sumtemp/(double)139;
           System.out.println("The average tempreature is  :"
           +averagetemp );
           System.out.println("Average rate of change in tempreature  :"
                                       +avgchangetemp);
           br.close();
           String message = "Thus, global tempreature is rising every year !!";
      char[] chars = message.toCharArray();

      for (int e = 0; e < chars.length; e++) {
          System.out.print(chars[e]);
          Thread.sleep(500);
      }
        
/*-----------------------------------------------------------------------------*/
           //Reading gas data
  File Gas = new File("gas.txt");
           BufferedReader gs = new BufferedReader(new FileReader(Gas));
           double gavgchange=0;
           String gas; double b; double gArray[] = new double [740];
           int a = 0; double gsum =0;
           while ((gas = gs.readLine()) != null) {
             System.out.println(gas);
             b =  Double.valueOf(gas);
             gArray[a] = b;
             gsum = gsum +b;
                         if(a>=1) {
                                       gavgchange = (gArray[a]-gArray[a-1]) + gavgchange; 
                         }
             a++;
           }
           double gaverage  = gsum/(double)740;
           System.out.println("The average co2 gas emission is  :"
           +gaverage);
           System.out.println("Average increasing rate of amount of co2 gas emission "
                                      + "is  :"+gavgchange+"PPM (Parts per Million )");
           gs.close();
           String messagea = "Earths atmosphere is being compromised by higher PPM"
                                      + " of the CO2 gas !!";
      char[] charsa = messagea.toCharArray();

      for (int f = 0; f< charsa.length; f++) {
          System.out.print(charsa[f]);
          Thread.sleep(500);
      }
          
/*-------------------------------------------------------------------------------*/
           //Reading water level data
  File Water = new File("waterlevel.txt");
           BufferedReader wl = new BufferedReader(new FileReader(Water));
           double wavgchange=0;
           String water; double c; double wArray[] = new double [979];
           int d = 0; double wsum =0;
           while ((water = wl.readLine()) != null) {
             System.out.println(water);
             c =  Double.valueOf(water);
             wArray[d] = c;
             wsum = wsum +c;
                         if(d>=1) {
                                       if(wavgchange>0 ||  wavgchange == 0 ) {
                                                      wavgchange = (wArray[d]-wArray[d-1]) + wavgchange;
                                       }
                                       if (wavgchange<0) {
                                                      wavgchange = wavgchange*-1;
                                       wavgchange = (wArray[d]-wArray[d-1])*-1 + wavgchange;
                                       } 
                         }
             d++;
           }
           double waverage  = wsum/(double)3;
           System.out.println("The average increase in water level :"
                                      + "" +waverage +" mm");
           System.out.println("Average rate of increase in water level"
                                      + " is  :" +wavgchange+" mm");
           wl.close();
          
          
           String messagew = "Water level is rising.";
      char[] charsw = messagew.toCharArray();

 
      for (int r = 0; r< charsw.length; r++) {
          System.out.print(charsw[r]);
          Thread.sleep(500);
         }
      System.out.println();
      String messagef =  "Global Warming is hapenning for REAL !!!";
        char[] charsf = messagef.toCharArray();

 
        for (int s = 0; s< charsf.length; s++) {
            System.out.print(charsf[s]);
            Thread.sleep(500);
        }
     
           }
              }
 Data  Used:(Check refrence for more info
  Temperature data From climate change/NASA.gov



                                                                    
VI.  
Conclusion

Thus, after running our program and seeing the increase in graph we conclude that global warming is real. So, we should be working in order to preserve our natural habitat. We should invest more in technologies, that helps to preserve the environment.  Such as using renewable sources of energy rather than burning fossil fuels. We should try to decrease our carbon footprints. Create less wasteful products and make a habit of recycling. We should increase the number of trees which will help to neutralize the co2 present in our atmosphere. We are not the last generation on earth, so let’s unite and preserve the nature so that future generations can also enjoy the beauty of life.

                                                     VII.  Annotated Bibliography

[1]    PROTHERO, D. R. (2012). How We Know Global Warming is Real and Human Caused. Skeptic, 17(2), 14–22. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com.rpa.laguardia.edu:2048/login.aspx?direct=true&db=a9h&AN=74972679&site=ehost-live
[2]    Ramanathan, V. (2006). Global Warming. Bulletin of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 59(3), 36-38. Retrieved from www.jstor.org/stable/3824473.
[3]    Reshchikov A, van Achterberg K (2014) Review of the genus Metopheltes Uchida, 1932 (Hymenoptera, Ichneumonidae) with description of a new species from Vietnam. Biodiversity Data Journal 2: e1061. https://doi.org/10.3897/BDJ.2.e1061.
[4]    Gore R, Gaikwad S (2015) Checklist of Fabaceae Lindley in Balaghat Ranges of Maharashtra, India. Biodiversity Data Journal 3: e4541. https://doi.org/10.3897/BDJ.3.e4541.
[5]    Tan M, Kamaruddin K (2016) Redescription of the little-known grasshopper Willemsella (Acrididae, Hemiacridinae) from Peninsular Malaysia. Biodiversity Data Journal 4: e7775. https://doi.org/10.3897/BDJ.4.e7775
[6]     http%3a%2f%2fwww.historystudies.net%2fdergi%2f%2fbirinci-dunya-savasinda-bir-asayis-sorunu-sebinkarahisar-ermeni-isyani20181092a4a8f.pdf
[7]     Nadir Yurtoğlu - History Studies International Journal of History - 2018.




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